Army vs. San Diego State

ARMED FORCES BOWL - We can't expect a lot of points in this Bowl game, pitting two of the best rushing teams in college football. San Diego State was #12 in rushing with 252.3 yards per game behind RB Rashaad Penny (2,027 yards). San Diego State is #15 in the nation defensively in points allowed (18.4 points per game), going seven straight games UNDER the total. They are also 21-10-1 UNDER on natural grass. They are favored over a fine Army squad but the Aztecs are 2-7 ATS against winning teams, plus 5-11-1 ATS in non-conference games. SDSU was favored by a TD against Boise and Fresno and lost both straight up, 31-14 and 27-3. Army matches up well and is tops in the nation in rushing 355.8 yards per game behind QB Ahmad Bradshaw. They joined Navy as the only FBS schools this season to surpass 4,000 total yards on the ground. Eleven different Black Knights players had at least one rushing score. And the Army defense is solid all around, #28 in in the nation in points allowed. Army is 16-5 UNDER the total at neutral sites, as well as 35-16-1 UNDER against winning teams. Army allowed opponents to score points on just 72 percent of their red-zone visits. Army has been an underdog the last four games and won three of them, allowing 16, 0 and 13 points in the victories. SDSU was favored over Navy in a bowl game three years ago and lost 17-16 and this shapes up as a similar match-up, so look for the dog to win a low scoring tilt. Play both Army on the moneyline and the UNDER.