Arkansas at Alabama

The Alabama Crimson Tide have been dominating NCAA Football for the last five years. They have won three of the last four BCS Championships, and certainly will be in the hunt to make that four of five. As dominating as they have been, the Tide are downright scary at home. In their last 34 home games Alabama has allowed a meager 7.5 points per game. When they face a team that has a winning percentage below .750, they allow 4.5 ppg! They have a Heisman-caliber QB to compliment the defense, so they don't have to score 40 here to cover... they might get it done with 30is points. Considering that Arkansas has allowed an average of 48.5 ppg to the top two teams they have faced in LSU and SC (both at home), I don't see them holding the Tide to under 40 on the road. These are lots of points, but they will disappear quickly as the Tide rolls again. Arkansas is 2-9 ATS the past two seasons vs. winning teams and 1-9 ATS overall on the road the past three seasons. All Alabama in this one.