Wake Forest has won four straight: 30-27 at Louisville, 57-3 over Stanford, 38-14 at NC State, and 41-7 at California, and it has allowed 8 points per game in the last three. I had Wake Forest at NC State three weeks ago, and it won. Wake Forest’s only loss is 33-20 to Miami, and it beat Purdue 38-36 before this run. Against its seven FBS opponents, which is every game it has played, Wake Forest scores 37.4 per game and allows 19.4. Virginia is 4-4 and beat Norfolk State 59-3. Against its seven FBS opponents, it scores 23.9 and allows 22. Over its last three, Virginia has scored 28, 13, and 16, for 19 per game, and quarterback Beau Pribula has thrown one touchdown pass in each. That is a 19-point offense against an 8-point defense, and Wake Forest wins this game.

Minnesota leads the league at +14.8 points per game over six games, +17 in the four with Anthony Edwards and +10.5 in the two without him. Edwards is out after knee surgery. The first game without him was a 119-114 home loss to Golden State, and the second was a 127-101 win over a Clippers team that has won one of its five games. San Antonio is 3-2 and +6.6 per game, with losses to Oklahoma City and Houston by 12 and 4 before three straight wins over Dallas, Sacramento and Utah by 16, 27 and 6. Victor Wembanyama scored 23, 29 and 36 in those three. The Spurs turn it over 13.2 times per game, the fewest in the league, and block 6.6 shots per game, fifth, against Minnesota’s 4.7, which is 20th. That is a team that keeps its possessions and protects the rim against a Minnesota rotation playing without Edwards, so this game goes to San Antonio.

Back Wake Forest (-456 moneyline) plus San Antonio (-488 moneyline) in a two-team parlay at -213.