Wake Forest has scored at least 20 points in all seven games and averages 290 passing yards per game. The Demon Deacons outscore opponents 37.4 to 19.4, an 18-point margin, and they have given the ball away three times in seven games. Two wins, 38-36 at Purdue and 30-27 at Louisville, were close, and both came in the first four games. The next three were 57-3, 38-14 and 41-7, and the one loss was Miami’s 33-20 win. Virginia outscores opponents 28.3 to 19.6, an 8.6-point margin, and over its last four games it has scored 64 and allowed 105 in a 1-3 stretch. Its defense has allowed 25, 23, and 19 in the last three, and Virginia hasn't topped 16 in any of its last three losses, so the win is Wake Forest’s.
Northern Illinois is 0-7 and has lost by an average of 23.4 points, with its closest game a 28-24 loss to Illinois State. It has never scored more than 24 points in a game or allowed fewer than 28. UNLV is 4-3, and the Huskies give up 221 rushing yards per game while rushing for 100. UNLV has run for 169 or more in five of seven games, including 248 at Hawaii and 203 at Akron, and it forced three turnovers in each of two wins, Akron and North Dakota State. UNLV’s one lopsided loss, 44-6 at North Texas, came with four turnovers, the only game where it gave the ball away more than twice. Northern Illinois has taken the ball away seven times in seven games, so the repeat it needs is not coming, and UNLV comes out ahead.
Take Wake Forest (-441 moneyline) plus UNLV (-1438 moneyline) in a two-team parlay at -320.