Arizona has allowed 30 or more points in six of its eight games and gives up 29.8 a game, the most in the NFL, while Seattle allows 19.9, seventh-fewest. I had Seattle on the spread at Arizona seven weeks ago and it won 31-7 with Drew Lock at quarterback, 19 of 26 for 235 yards and three touchdowns. Lock starts again this afternoon with Sam Darnold out, and Arizona scores 21.9 a game, 20th in the league. Lock was Seattle’s emergency third quarterback for the last two games with an elbow injury, and Seattle lost 34-17 at home to 6-2 Chicago on Monday. Arizona’s defense gives up points to everyone, and Seattle wins at home.
Houston opened with a 94-55 win over La Salle, holding the Explorers to 15-of-60 shooting, and it outrebounded them 47-32. Kelvin Sampson lost nine players from last year’s team and added transfers, so the opener from this roster is the useful sample, not last season’s results. California has allowed 86 to Adams State and 70 to Radford in its first two games. California scored 115 against Adams State and made 17 threes against Radford, so a hot shooting night is the way this gets close. Houston took 37 free throws and scored 44 in the paint against La Salle, so it does not need threes to win. This game goes to Houston.
Play Seattle (-365 moneyline) plus Houston (-2074 moneyline) in a two-team parlay at -298.