Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Picks

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Betting Picks

Get Lightning vs. Maple Leafs betting picks, expert betting analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Lightning vs. Maple Leafs game.

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 63% of the public money was on Tampa Bay Lightning to win on the moneyline. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Tampa Bay would win by a score of 3.7 to 2.5 with Tampa Bay winning on the moneyline, Toronto winning on the puckline and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on March 07, 2026 at 12:19PM ET.

NHL

Tampa Bay at Toronto

March 7, 2026

7:00 PM Eastern

Something has to give, as both teams are on losing streaks, but Tampa Bay is still tied for the lead in the Atlantic Division while Toronto is last and out of the playoff picture. The Maple Leafs have lost seven home games in a row, and they have only scored 12 goals in six games. They are also playing their third game in four days. The Lightning's last win was against the Maple Leafs on Feb. 25. Andrei Vasilevskiy is 27-10-3 with a 2.34 goals-against average and a .910 save percentage for Tampa Bay. Anthony Stolarz is expected to start for the Maple Leafs, and he is 7-8-3 with a 3.36 GAA this season. Stolarz has lost his past three starts while allowing nine goals. Take the Lightning.

Final Score

1

2

3

F

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

0

1

5

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

0

1

2

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 63% of the public money was on Tampa Bay Lightning to win on the moneyline. And, 66% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Tampa Bay would win by a score of 4.2 to 2.0 with Tampa Bay winning on the moneyline and on the puckline and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

F

Toronto Maple Leafs

0

0

2

2

Tampa Bay Lightning

0

2

2

4

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 58% of the public money was on Toronto Maple Leafs to win on the moneyline. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Toronto would win by a score of 3.3 to 2.9 with Toronto winning on the moneyline and on the puckline and the game going UNDER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

F

Tampa Bay Lightning

0

0

0

0

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

0

1

2

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 62% of the public money was on Tampa Bay Lightning to win on the moneyline. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Toronto would win by a score of 3.1 to 3.0 with Toronto winning on the moneyline and on the puckline and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

O

F

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

0

1

1

4

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

0

2

0

3

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 63% of the public money was on Toronto Maple Leafs to win on the moneyline. And, 70% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Tampa Bay would win by a score of 3.4 to 2.8 with Tampa Bay winning on the moneyline and on the puckline and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

These Pro Picks were released to clients on January 20, 2025 at 11:46AM ET.

NHL

Tampa Bay at Toronto

January 20, 2025

7:30 PM Eastern

Tampa Bay has won two in a row and five of seven after defeating Detroit on Saturday. Nikita Kucherov and Jake Guentzel had a goal and two assists to back Andrei Vasilevskiy, who stopped 39 shots for the Lightning. Tampa Bay has won four straight against teams that scored at least five goals in their previous game, and Toronto comes off a 7-3 win over Montreal. That was one less goal than the Maple Leafs had combined to score in their previous four games. Tampa Bay is 4-0-1 UNDER its past five games against opponents with winning records. This season, Toronto is 17-9-1 UNDER at home, including four of its past six. Tampa Bay has won six of nine against the Eastern Conference. Vasilevskiy is 20-13-2 with a 2.35 goals-against average, and the Lightning are in double revenge. Take the Lightning and the UNDER.

Final Score

1

2

3

F

Tampa Bay Lightning

0

1

2

3

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

2

2

5