Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Picks

Pittsburgh comes off a 4-3 win over Montreal and is 8-5-4 on the road. That ended an eight-game skid, with four of the losses by one goal in overtime or shootouts. The offense is third in the NHL on the power play. Toronto got outscored 14-4 during a winless three-game road trip, part of a 2-6 slide. The offense is last on the power play, while the defense is 25th in goals given up (3.34 per game) and 15th in save percentage. To say this team misses Mitch Marner's presence is an understatement, but the lack of passion during some of their recent losses has been questionable. The wagering value is on the visitors to win the game or lose by one goal. Play Pittsburgh on the puck line. 

Toronto won the first meeting 4-3 on Nov. 3. The Maple Leafs have won four of five in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation and six of eight playing with no rest. They look to bounce back from a 4-2 loss at Washington last night after blowing a 2-0 lead. Pittsburgh defeated Columbus 4-3 in overtime, and the Penguins are 0-9 playing with no rest. The Penguins are 5-0 UNDER in the third game of a 3-in-4 days, 4-0-1 UNDER their past five home games, and 4-0 UNDER their past four with no rest. Pittsburgh is on a current 7-1 UNDER run. Toronto has won five of the past six meetings, and Pittsburgh has lost 12 of 16 against the Atlantic Division and five of six Saturday games. Take the Maple Leafs and the UNDER.

Veteran defensemen Kris Letang and Erik Karlsson are proving they are still effective, helping the Penguins hold opponents to 2.62 goals per game, which ranks sixth in the NHL. The Penguins have given up three or fewer goals in seven of their last nine games. However, one of those two games where they gave up more than three goals came this past Saturday in a 5-2 road loss to Winnipeg. Pittsburgh is concluding a four-game, seven-day road trip here. So don't expect a fast pace from the Penguins, especially after allowing five goals to the Jets in their last game. Toronto has been without William Nylander, a 45-goal scorer last season, for the past two games due to a lower-body injury. Nylander is questionable. Missing Mitch Marner, Auston Matthews has scored only two goals during five-on-five action. The Maple Leafs' power play has been a significant disappointment so far, ranking 30th in the league. The UNDER has cashed in each of the Penguins' last two visits to Toronto. Take the UNDER.

Toronto continued its hot streak with a 3-2 victory over the New York Rangers on Friday for the Maple Leafs' seventh win in eight games and fourth in a row. Matthew Knies broke a third-period tie and Anthony Stolarz made 33 saves for Toronto and the game went UNDER. The UNDER is 5-0 in Toronto's past five games as a favorite of -151 to -200 and it has won six of seven road games against teams with losing home records. Pittsburgh has lost five of six, including 3-2 to Boston last night and now the Penguins have to play a back-to-back. They are 0-4 their past four games playing with no rest and they have lost six of seven versus the Atlantic Division. The UNDER is 7-2-1 the past 10 meetings and Toronto has stayed UNDER six of nine against the Metropolitan Division. Take the Maple Leafs and the UNDER.

Toronto has won five of the past six meetings, including 4-2 in early October, and the Maple Leafs come into this game winning seven of nine, although they did lose 3-1 to Washington on Friday night. Anthony Stolarz was the loser in that one, and Joseph Woll is expected back tonight with a 7-2-0 record, a 2.11 goals-against average, and a .922 save percentage with one shutout this season. Pittsburgh had its four-game win streak snapped in a 4-2 loss to the New York Rangers last night. Tristan Jarry is likely in the net with a hefty 4.41 goals-against average this season. The Penguins have lost eight of 10 as home underdogs and 0-9 as underdogs of +110 to +150. Take the Maple Leafs.