Winnipeg at Tampa Bay

Winnipeg has lost six straight, and five of those losses came by a single goal, two of them in overtime. The exception was a 5-1 loss to Florida on Tuesday. Across the six games the Jets scored 10 goals, and the scoring is concentrated: Kyle Connor has nine of the team's 28 goals this season and Cole Perfetti has six. Winnipeg is 4-5-3 with 36 goals allowed in 12 games. Before the slide it won four of five, beating Detroit 3-2, Pittsburgh 3-2, Colorado 3-2 and Minnesota 5-2, with a 5-1 loss to Anaheim in between. Tampa Bay is 7-3-1, and that record is what the price is paying for. Nikita Kucherov has 14 points and Brandon Hagel has 13, and the Lightning have the offense to punish a Winnipeg team that scored one goal in three of those last six games. Andrei Vasilevskiy is 5-3 this season with an .884 save percentage and a 2.78 goals-against average, and he is 6-8-1 with an .895 save percentage against Winnipeg in his career. I'm on Winnipeg at these odds, and they don't need to win most nights to profit long-term.