Winnipeg at Montreal

Montreal beat Winnipeg 2-1 on October 25, one of five straight wins in which the Canadiens have allowed eight goals in total. Three of those five opponents scored one goal or none. Winnipeg is 0-7-2 over its last nine games. I count eight Jets goals across their last five, the latest a 7-0 loss at Carolina on Sunday. Those four losses after the Montreal game ran high on the scoreboard because Florida, Tampa Bay and Carolina scored five, six, five and seven. Winnipeg's own output in those games was one, four, two and zero. Josh Morrissey is out with an upper-body injury, and Winnipeg allows 3.36 goals a game. The Jets' offense generates 26.4 shots a game, and Montreal allows 27.6. Winnipeg's penalty kill is a weak spot at 71.8%, yet Montreal's power play has converted four times all season, 9.5%. In the October 25 meeting, Winnipeg outshot Montreal 34-21 and still scored once. Montreal's defense has been tight, Winnipeg can't finish, and the Canadiens' man advantage is cold, so the UNDER is the bet tonight.