Utah at Pittsburgh

Utah has won 5-4 three times this month: at home over Toronto on October 13, at home over Pittsburgh on October 19, and in overtime over Tampa Bay on October 24. That is nine goals each time, from an offense averaging 3.6 goals a game, sixth in the NHL, with a power play converting at 34.8%, second. Pittsburgh went 1-6-1 over the eight games before it beat Florida 4-0 on October 22, and it allowed five or more goals in each of the four losses just before that win. The Penguins then beat Nashville 3-2 in overtime on Saturday. Utah lost 3-1 at home to Minnesota on Tuesday. Pittsburgh is 5-6-1, and Utah is 8-5. Both clubs allow 3.3 goals per game, and Pittsburgh scores 3.3 per game. That leaves Utah with 30.2 shots per game, fifth in the NHL, against a Penguins defense that allows 27.5, a gap between the two. Utah's offense and power play are the stronger unit in this game, and they're driving the scoring, so I'm laying the price with Utah and playing the OVER.