Toronto at Vancouver

Vancouver led San Jose by two goals on Thursday night and lost 3-2. It was the fourth time this season the Canucks have lost by a single goal, and one of those came in overtime. They are 3-11-1 and allow 4.5 goals a game, the most in the league. Toronto is 7-6-2 and has scored 56 goals, second in the league. Vancouver has scored two or fewer goals in 10 of its 15 games, so the Canucks' own offense rarely pushes a game past what one team can produce. The Maple Leafs finish a four-game western trip having lost two straight. Anthony Stolarz is confirmed in net, with a 2.79 goals-against average and a .906 save percentage. Sergei Bobrovsky sits at .885 for the season. Toronto's better goalie takes the ice, and the matchup still points to a one-goal game, which is where Vancouver has been living. The same slow-scoring script, as I see it, supports both tickets. If the Canucks' offense stays in its usual range, the game stays low and tight, and a plus-money underdog with one-goal losses on its résumé is in a spot to steal it. The stake is half a unit on the moneyline and a full unit on the total, so the bankroll we're carrying leans harder on the UNDER. I'm taking the Canucks on the moneyline and the UNDER.