Tampa Bay is in double revenge after losing to the Islanders twice this season, and both were in the midst of a four-game skid. The Lightning has since won two straight against Montreal and New Jersey. The Lightning have won five straight road games against teams with winning home records. New York comes off a 5-2 win over Anaheim, but the Islanders are 5-13 in their past 18 after scoring at least five goals in their previous game. They are 3-7 versus teams that scored five or more in their last game. Tampa Bay has won seven of nine on the road and nine of 13 overall. New York has gone UNDER 11 of 15, and six of the past seven meetings have stayed UNDER. The Islanders are on an 8-1 UNDER run against the Eastern Conference, and they are 6-1 UNDER after allowing two or fewer goals in their previous game. Take the Lightning and the UNDER.
These Pro Picks were released to clients on December 13, 2025 at 11:29AM ET.
Tampa Bay at New York
December 13, 2025
1 unit on Tampa Bay -116 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.86)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 6 -115 (risk 1.5 to return 2.8)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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