Tampa Bay at Detroit

Star Tampa Bay goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has a 4.08 goals against average and an .870 save percentage. These are terrible numbers for any goalie, let alone for one as celebrated as Vasilevskiy. So it's no surprise the Lightning have lost all three of Vasilevskiy's starts this season. Time to panic? No, it's time to buy low on Vasilevskiy, knowing this is a good spot for the Lightning to tighten up their defense. Vasilevskiy is an elite goalie. He just suddenly hasn't turned sour overnight. Look for the Lightning, having last played three days ago, to limit their run-and-gun style and focus more defensively. The Red Wings have won three in a row, holding those three opponents, Toronto twice and Florida, to an average of two goals per game during this span. The Red Wings have a top-10 defense and rank 11th in scoring. The Lighting has been just average in scoring. They rank 31st in shots on goal. But they have the 11th-best penalty kill unit. They need to work on their five-on-five defense. That should start to show here. Take the UNDER.