St. Louis at Nashville

The Blues scored four goals at New Jersey on Thursday and still lost 5-4 in overtime, their second straight defeat. The scoring has not been the problem. In their last four games, they scored 4, 5, 1, and 4, and Dylan Holloway leads the club with 12 points while Jimmy Snuggerud has eight goals. Nashville has 19 points to St. Louis's 16 through 16 games each, and it beat the Blues 5-2 in Nashville earlier this season. Both clubs have seven wins. The Predators' edge in points comes from five losses in extra time against two for the Blues. The goal rates are nearly identical too. St. Louis scores 3.1 goals a game and allows 3.1, while Nashville scores 3.0 and allows 2.9. Those are the numbers of two clubs that have won the same number of games, and the market has priced them as exactly that, around a coin-flip with the road side no worse than the home side. With seven wins apiece and goal rates this close, I'd rather own St. Louis at this price this afternoon.