Pittsburgh at Vegas

Pittsburgh lost 5-2 at Colorado on Friday night and is on the ice in Las Vegas again tonight. It has won one of its last six games, a shootout against Dallas on October 10, and it has scored 13 goals in those six, 2.2 a game, with three or fewer in every one. Vegas last played Thursday, a 6-2 win over Calgary, and it has won seven of its nine games, four of five at home counting overtime and shootout results. That is a 77.8% win rate, well above the 67.0% the moneyline price needs, and its two losses were 4-3 to Anaheim and 4-2 at Minnesota. Vegas has outscored its opponents 35-22 and outshot them in seven of nine games, and it puts 31.0 shots a game on net against the 28.8 Pittsburgh allows. Half of Pittsburgh’s 26 goals came in its first two games, and in its last four road games it has scored 3, 2, 3 and 2. Pittsburgh has given up 3.25 goals a game, 13th-most in the league. Vegas allows 2.4 goals a game, sixth-fewest in the league, and it has held opponents to two or fewer in six of nine games and to 28 or fewer shots in eight of nine. Vegas allows 25.6 shots a game, ninth-fewest in the league, and Pittsburgh has averaged 27.0 shots for across its last six games. Pittsburgh’s power play has converted 4 of 27 chances, 26th in the league, and Vegas on the moneyline is my NHL Game of the Week, with the UNDER alongside it tonight.