Ottawa at Toronto

The Senators have been itching for this game, not just because they went into the three-day Christmas break with a 3-2 overtime home loss to the Sabres. No, this game has been circled for the Senators ever since the Maple Leafs eliminated them in six games in a first-round playoff series last season. Ottawa had won four games in a row by a combined 11 goals until slipping against Buffalo as a $1.63 favorite. The Senators have scored 18 goals in their last four games, while the Maple Leafs have allowed 17 goals in their previous four games. Toronto is having a down season so far with the second-fewest points in the Eastern Conference. The Maple Leafs are 3-6 in their last nine games. They rank 25th defensively, give up the second-most shots on goal, and have the lowest power play percentage. Take the Senators.