Ottawa at Detroit

Ottawa has scored eight goals over the last three games but lost two of them allowing 13 goals. They're on an 8-3 run OVER the total. The offense is 11th in goals scored and 13th in shooting percentage, while the defense has allowed the third-most goals in the NHL (3.65 per contest) and is dead-last in save percentage (.885). Ottawa is 16-8 OVER the total against teams that average 3+ goals, plus 14-3 OVER after a non-conference game. Detroit's offense is fifth in goals scored (3.51 per game) and second in shooting percentage, but the defense is 22nd in goals allowed (3.22 per game). The Red Wings are 11-4 OVER versus losing teams and 17-7 OVER after a win by 3 or more goals. Take Ottawa/Detroit OVER the total.