New York at Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay is in a must-win situation after losing consecutive playoff games for the first time in the past three postseasons, but now they're back at home where they have lost only nine times in regulation this season. They still have who many consider the best goalie in the league in Andrei Vasilevskiy, although he has struggled in the first two games of this series. New York is 1-5 in its last six games as a road underdog, and the Rangers have lost six of their last eight on the road. They are also 17-38 in their past 55 games as playoff dogs. Four of the last five meetings at Tampa Bay have gone OVER, and the Rangers are 9-4 OVER when playing with one day of rest. The Lightning have no choice but to come out firing as they don't want to get behind in this crucial game. Tampa Bay is 8-3 OVER in its last 11 home games and 10-4 OVER with one day of rest. The Bolts are also 89-26 after scoring two or fewer goals in its previous game. Take the Lightning for a Max Play, and also go with the OVER.