New York at Seattle

Tye Kartye scored the winner Thursday in Philadelphia after the Rangers scored twice late in the third period. Kartye played for Seattle before New York, and he now takes a club that has lost five road games in a row back to the Kraken. Seattle has 19 points in 15 games, and New York has 19 in 17. The Rangers allow 2.88 goals a game, seventh-fewest in the NHL, and 26.5 shots, tenth-fewest. Seattle allows 3.53 goals, sixth-most, on 30.5 shots, third-most, and its penalty kill is the third-worst in the league. The Rangers kill penalties better than almost anyone. Dylan Garand has started nine of the Rangers' last 10 games and sits in front of that defense. The same numbers hold the total down. Both clubs average 25.5 shots a game, tied for 27th. Seattle's 3.53 goals allowed come from the shots it gives up and a penalty kill that leaks, and the Rangers do not generate much volume to exploit either one. New York scores 3.0 goals a game, 20th in the league. Seattle's offense is 11th at 3.5, on that same low shot count. Wednesday's 2-1 win over Calgary shows how a Seattle game plays out when the shots stay low. The Rangers' goaltending and penalty kill answer what Seattle does well, so the game stays at a low-event pace, and New York is the team that finishes it. I like the Rangers on the moneyline and the UNDER this afternoon.