New York at Carolina

The home team has won all four games in this series and Carolina has been mostly money at home all year at 35-8-2. New York has lost five of its last six road games and is 14-37 as a playoff underdog. The Rangers scored just one goal in Games 1 and 2 at Carolina. That's not a shocker as Carolina was No. 1 during the regular season in goals given up (2.44) and shots on goal allowed. Carolina is 54-30 at home against winning teams, 43-14 at home versus teams that average 29.5+ shots on goal per contest, plus 28-9 at home against starting goalies that have a .915 save percentage or better. New York has lost five of the last six in this building, so back home ice. Play Carolina.