The Islanders played at Ottawa on Thursday in a 1-1 game that went to a shootout, with 21 shots for and 19 against. They have allowed 26 or fewer shots in six of their seven games, the exception being a 6-0 win over New Jersey, and they allow 2.3 goals a game, third-fewest in the league. Their games average 5.1 total goals. Toronto’s games average 6.9, and its last four produced 6, 9, 9 and 9 goals. Chris Tanev, a defenseman, has missed Toronto’s last two games, and Toronto allowed five in each. The Islanders and Toronto already met on September 30, and Toronto won 2-1 while being outshot 27-26. Toronto has scored two goals in three of its five home games. The Islanders score 2.9 goals a game, 22nd in the league, and they have done it without Mathew Barzal, who has missed all seven games and did not travel for this two-game Canadian trip. Toronto’s penalty kill has allowed one goal in 26 chances, the best rate in the league, and I’m playing the UNDER tonight.
This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 17, 2026 at 9:47AM ET.
New York at Toronto
October 17, 2026
0.5 unit on Game Total UNDER 6.5 -117 (risk 0.5 to return 0.93)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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