New York at Toronto

The Islanders know how to win on the road, going 20-13-3 in their away games this season. New York won for the eighth time in 11 games with a 3-2 victory against the Flames this past Saturday. That was the Islanders' league-leading 25th one-goal victory this season. The Islanders have earned trust as they fight to stay in the playoff race. The Maple Leafs haven't. The Leafs are a near-hopeless 10 points out of the playoffs as the seventh-place team in the Atlantic Division. Toronto did upset Minnesota on the road two days ago, 4-2. That was just Toronto's second win in its last 11 games. The Leafs are minus team captain and prolific offensive threat Auston Matthews. He is out for the season with an MCL tear. Toronto is 29th defensively, giving up 3.4 goals a game. The Leafs have allowed three or more goals in 10 of their last 11 games. The Islanders cough up just 2.8 goals per game, fourth-best in the league. Take the Islanders.