New York at Ottawa

Ottawa is 5-2, and the Islanders are 3-3. The Senators have outscored their opponents 20-19, while New York has outscored its opponents 19-15, and two of Ottawa’s five wins came by one goal, with a third decided by a shootout. I had St. Louis on the moneyline in Ottawa on Tuesday, and it cashed, 7-2, the only game this season in which the Senators have allowed more than five goals. Ottawa has three defensemen on injured reserve or out, including Artem Zub, and Jake Sanderson is day-to-day. Mathew Barzal is on injured reserve for New York, and the Islanders beat Vancouver 3-2 on Tuesday. New York has allowed 15 goals in six games, tied for sixth-fewest in the league, and Ilya Sorokin has stopped 93.4% of the shots he has faced in five starts. Both bets run through that defense: a low-event game keeps the underdog within reach and keeps the total down. Ottawa scores 2.86 goals a game, 20th in the league, and I'm on the Islanders and the UNDER tonight.