Montreal at Tampa Bay

Montreal is 9-7 UNDER this season and they are playing excellent defense. They have held their last five opponents to 2.4 goals per game. Their offense on the road has been average. Tampa Bay is scoring just 2.5 goals per game at home this season and are likely to struggle to find the net in this one. This season the Canadiens are 15-7 UNDER against teams that allow 30+ shots per game (Tampa averages 33.3 per game). Montreal is also 14-7 UNDER against good offensive teams (those averaging 30+ shots per game). I like this one to come in at five goals or fewer.