Montreal at Tampa Bay

The Tampa Bay Lightning have a losing record on the season, but have been resilient at home, posting a 9-5 mark on the season. They have been tighter around the net in their last two games allowing just a total of 2 regulation goals. Montreal exploded for 6 goals at Ottawa in their last time out on the ice, but overall this has been a struggling offense. In their previous 14, the Habs scored just 31 times and just 9 in their last five prior to the outburst. The 6 goals was the fifth time this season they have reached the 5-goal mark and they followed in the previous four by averaging 1.75 goals per game, showing their season long inconsistencies on offense. I do like Montreal here as I think their defense holds down Tampa Bay and their offense finds enough vs. Tampa's defense. Tampa Bay has struggled vs. poor offensive teams in recent years, going just 11-17 under Guy Boucher vs. teams that  score 2.5 or fewer goals per game. And, as a favorite this season, the Lightning are just 6-11. The Canadiens have gone 41-19-4 to the UNDER in their last 64 road games, and that includes five of the last seven in Tampa, as well as a 9-4 UNDER mark in this series over the 13 meetings. Play Montreal and take the UNDER for my NHL Total of the Month.