Montreal at Ottawa

The Ottawa Senators had it going but have hit a bump and 17 goals in the last seven games is part of the story, averaging just 2.4 per game. The last home stand however, they only allowed 12 in five games, the same 2.4 against. They have been tough at home where they are 10-3-3, so to keep that going in this one is likely to be played tight and low as they have to turn to the defensive end while their offense gets back on track. The Canadiens may oblige as they have played six straight UNDERs after a win. The first one played with just four goals between them, and last year's matchup saw five cross the net. I like this one to do the same and play UNDER the total.