Minnesota at Utah

Utah's last four games have each finished with at least eight goals: a 6-2 loss to Edmonton, a 5-4 win over Pittsburgh, a 5-3 loss at Seattle and a 5-4 win over Tampa Bay. The Mammoth score 3.8 goals a game and allow 3.3 through 12 games. They have scored four or more in eight of those 12. Minnesota's games have finished UNDER the posted total in 10 of 13, and the Wild allow 2.3 goals a game. Minnesota has given up four or more only three times: a 5-2 loss at Winnipeg, a 5-4 win over St. Louis and a 4-3 overtime loss at Edmonton. Those three games finished with seven, nine and seven goals. Kirill Kaprizov has 13 goals in 13 games for a Wild offense that scores 3.2 a game. Minnesota's low-scoring run came against opponents that mostly stayed under four goals, and Utah has reached four in two of every three games it has played. At plus money, we need the OVER to cash a shade under half the time. Utah's defense has allowed four or more in seven of 12 games, which is why I make the OVER the play.