Minnesota at Philadelphia

Philadelphia scored 29 goals through its first 15 games, 1.9 a night, and then put up six on Sunday in a 6-3 win over Utah with Travis Konecny back in the lineup. Minnesota is 10-3-3, and Jesper Wallstedt carries a 2.06 goals-against average and a .920 save percentage. The Flyers are 4-8-4 with a minus-19 goal differential. Utah is 9-6-0, so Sunday's win came against a club with a winning record. Defensemen drove it: Jamie Drysdale had three assists and a plus-5 rating, and Travis Sanheim had two assists and a plus-4. Wallstedt has faced these Flyers before. In St. Paul in March, Philadelphia outshot Minnesota 10-2 in the first period and won 3-2 in a shootout. I see the price as a product of the standings, and the standings were built before Sunday's lineup. A club that just found its offense and sits this deep in the table is the kind of underdog the board tends to misjudge. At a plus price, our bankroll only needs Philadelphia to win a little less than half the time. Take Philadelphia on the moneyline tonight, with Konecny, who scored the shootout winner against Wallstedt in March, back in a lineup that just scored six.