Minnesota at Buffalo

Minnesota won at Philadelphia last night, 5-4, moving up to third in the NHL in goals scored. They're 36-17-1 OVER the total as a favorite and 20-8-1 OVER against the Eastern Conference. However, Minnesota's defense is ranked 21st in goals allowed, 18th in shots on goal given up, 16th in save percentage. They're 37-16-1 OVER the total against losing teams and face a Buffalo defense that is 27th in goals surrendered, 31st in shots on goal allowed, and 24th in save percentage. Buffalo won 5-1 at Toronto, though that ended a five-game skid where the defense gave up 25 goals. Also, Buffalo is 14-5 OVER the total after playing three straight road contests. Back the OVER.