Edmonton at New York

Edmonton's last game was a 4-0 shutout of Calgary on Wednesday, with Tristan Jarry stopping 24 shots, and the Oilers have been off since. They arrive as the league's top-scoring team at 4.23 goals per game, with a 9-2-2 record, compared with the Islanders' 7-4-2. New York has earned a point in seven of its last eight games, going 5-1-2, and I trace that to its defense: 2.62 goals allowed per game, fifth in the NHL. The Oilers' power play, first in the league at 35.7%, meets a New York penalty kill that is fifth at 86.4%. Edmonton also gets just 26.1 shots a game, and the Islanders give up 26.2, so the Oilers have little volume to fall back on if the power play goes quiet. Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl and Evan Bouchard account for 57.75 percent of Edmonton's point production, so the Oilers' scoring runs through three players and New York can build its game plan around them. The Islanders have not lost in regulation in five home games against Edmonton, going 4-0-1. I'm on the Islanders on the moneyline and on the UNDER this afternoon.