Detroit at Ottawa

Detroit is 39-27 OVER this season, and it has soared OVER in its last three games and five of the last six as the defense has broken down. The goaltending has also been abysmal. The Red Wings have allowed 21 goals in their last three games, including a 5-2 loss to the Senators on Friday. Now they meet again, and Ottawa has gone OVER in three of its last four games. These teams are 4-1 OVER the last five meetings, as well. Alex Nedeljkovic is probable in net, and he has a 3.31 goals-against average. Thomas Greiss is off the injured list and available. His record is 8-11-1 on the season. Detroit is 18-7-1 OVER after losing by three or more goals, and Ottawa has gone OVER in five of its last seven when playing with one day of rest. Also, the Red Wings are 7-3-1 OVER versus a team that scored at least five goals in its previous game. Take the OVER.