Detroit at Florida

St. Louis scored five times on 15 shots at Detroit on Saturday and rallied from 4-2 down in the third period to win 5-4. The Red Wings outshot the Blues 8-1 in the first period and allowed only 15 shots all night, so I read those nine goals as coming off a handful of clean looks. Over Detroit's last 10 games, the Red Wings have scored 29 goals and allowed 27, 56 combined. Detroit scores 2.8 goals a game, in the bottom third of the NHL, and shoots 9.4%, in the bottom five in the league, so its offense turns few chances into goals. Florida scores 3.1 goals a game, around the middle of the league, and allows 2.8, inside the top ten. Detroit allows 2.9 goals a game, also inside the top ten, so this is a meeting of two clubs that hold opponents under three a game. Florida's underlying shot-quality numbers against at five-on-five rank third in the league, and its penalty kill is inside the top ten, so Detroit gets few easy chances at even strength or on the power play. Take the UNDER tonight.