Dallas at Pittsburgh

Dallas shut out San Jose 5-0 on Monday and Buffalo 4-0 on Thursday. I had the UNDER in the Buffalo game, and it cashed. The records are close, 2-2 for Dallas and 2-3 for Pittsburgh, but Pittsburgh has lost three in a row, including a shootout loss to Columbus on Friday; across those games, it allowed 11 goals and scored 7. Columbus held a 45-22 edge in shots on goal in that one. The Penguins scored 13 goals in their first two games this season, and their 293 goals last season ranked third in the league. Dallas has allowed no more than 26 shots on goal in any of its four games this season, and it hasn't played since Thursday. Its 226 goals allowed last season were the second-fewest in the league. Pittsburgh allowed 268, the ninth-most, and has given up 3.2 goals per game through five, while Dallas has allowed 1.5 per game through four. Dallas is the right-side moneyline pick tonight, and I don’t expect Pittsburgh to keep this one close.