Colorado at Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay lost the first two games on the road against the New York Rangers and now the Lightning find themselves in a similar situation for the Stanley Cup Finals. The Lightning are 7-1 at home this postseason and the defending champions have plenty of postseason experience to get back in the series. Andrei Vasilevskiy was 20-8 with a 2.23 goals-average and .921 save percentage at home in the regular season and he bounced back from a similar bad game against the Rangers when he allowed six goals. Vasilevskiy went on to allow a total of only eight goals his next five games. Andrei Burakovsky and Nazem Kadri both are questionable with thumb injuries for Colorado. Tampa Bay has won 40 of its past 55 home games and the favorite has won 16 of the past 21 meetings. In a must-win game, I'm taking the Lightning.