Colorado at Nashville

Colorado is 13-5 against winning teams, plus 25-10 as a playoff favorite. The Rockies rolled through the regular season ranked fifth in save percentage, and Top 10 in goals allowed, while the offense was fourth in goals scored. They've kept on rolling in this series up 3-0, outscoring Nashville 16-6. The Avalanche are 17-4 when their opponent allows five goals or more in the last game, plus 21-10-1 UNDER the total versus the Western Conference. Meanwhile, desperate Nashville is #18 in shots on goal allowed, #17 in goals surrendered. They're just 5-13 at home after two straight losses to the same opponent. Nashville will have to focus on defense to try and stay alive and is 30-17 UNDER the total at home after playing a game where seven or more goals were scored. The favorite is 36-17 when these teams clash with Colorado taking seven of the last meetings, so back the sweeping visitors in a defensive duel. Play Colorado to win and take this game to stay UNDER the total.