Carolina at Vegas

Three games into this Cup Final, nobody has been separated by more than a single goal. Vegas took Game 1, Carolina answered in overtime, and Saturday's Game 3 turned into a two-overtime survival act after the Golden Knights blew a four-goal third-period lead and still found a way to win 5-4. Now they're home, up 2-1, and every signal points to another coin-flip finish. Carolina hasn't lost on the road all postseason, but the goaltending picture is a mess — Andersen got pulled after surrendering four on sixteen shots, and Brind'Amour has a real decision to make. Vegas has been the more dangerous team at five-on-five, with Marner playing the best hockey of his career. None of that even has to translate to a win for this to cash. In a series where nothing has been decided by more than one, the extra half-goal cushion is the safe way to ride the home favorite. Back Vegas on the puckline tonight.