Calgary at Ottawa

The Ottawa Senators saw their long streak without a loss broken on the road. They have played much better at home and have been tough to stop here as they have scored 3 or more goals in 22 of 33 home games, or 67% of the time. That means the Flames are likely going to have to score some to win this one. The Flames have also produced 3 or more goals in over half their road games, making this total set at 5 suspiciously low, especially with Calgary playing 7 of 10 vs. the Northeast to the OVER, and Ottawa 5-1 to the OVER vs. the Northwest, and also 12-5-1 to the OVER on two days of rest. I like this one to go OVER the total.