Calgary at Colorado

Colorado went into Calgary on October 8 and won 7-3, the first of three meetings between these clubs this season. The Avalanche have kept scoring since. They have 54 goals in 13 games, 4.2 per game, against 41 allowed, for a +13 goal differential. They also come in off a 5-2 win over New Jersey on Wednesday. Colorado is 7-5-1, and four of its five regulation losses came on the road, at Winnipeg, Philadelphia, New Jersey and Nashville. The only regulation loss at home was 6-3 to Toronto on October 10. In its four home games since, Colorado went 3-0-1, with a shootout loss to Dallas the one game it didn't win. Across those four games, the Avalanche scored 18 goals and allowed nine in regulation. Calgary now has to solve that offense on the road, and the Flames gave up seven the last time they tried. These odds are hefty, but still provide value. I make Colorado the right side on the moneyline tonight.