Atlanta at Tampa Bay

Atlanta is playing great as they can see their first playoff birth in their sights. They've won 11 of their last 15 behind the play of Ilya Kovalchuk. But tonight they face a Tampa Bay team that has beaten them 3 out of 5 times already this season. Tampa is off a terrible offensive performance against Carolina in which the Lightning scored just one goal. Off games like that (<2 goals scored), Tampa Bay is 9-2 this season. While Atlanta is scoring 3.8 per game over their last five, they are giving up 3.6 per game. Tampa can score with them and play better defense too. Take Tampa Bay.