Arizona at Calgary

We've fared well lately hitting some big underdogs and so we'll try another here. It's another matchup in which we get a huge underdog that has fared well against this particular opponent. Phoenix has lost four of the last seven to Calgary but they have won 22 of the last 35 overall including 11 of the last 17 here in Calgary. Phoenix showed it can beat the Flames, winning 3-2 four days ago. This is such a mismatch that Calgary may sleep-walk a bit. They are 25-7 at home after all. But, their defense is playing horribly right now. In the last two weeks, they have given up 7 to Detroit, 7 and 4 to Colorado and 4 to San Jose. Back to the matchup - Calgary is a team that is very accurate on shots, but doesn't take a lot compared to how many they give up. These are the types of teams Phoenix thrives against. The Coyotes, as bad as they are, are 7-3 this season vs. poor-possession teams that average 3 or more fewer shots on goal than they allow. We'll back Phoenix here at the 2.5-to-1 line. Given Calgary's defensive collapse of late, this game should also be relatively high-scoring. Phoenix is 18-13 OVER on the road this year and four of the last five Calgary games have gone OVER. Phoenix is 28-16 OVER vs. teamst hat score 2.9+ goals per game over the past two seasons in second-half play. Take the OVER as well