Arizona at Anaheim

Anaheim has been tough at home but they aren't blowing teams out. On the season they are actually getting outscored 2.5 to 3.0 on average. At home, that improves to 2.7 to 2.7, but that's not very awe-inspiring, especially if a team needs to win by 2+ goals to cover. On the road the past two seasons, Phoenix is 16-10 when facing a losing team. They are also 33-16 vs. teams that allow 2.9+ goals per game. Anaheim took the first two games in this series this year, upsetting the Coyotes both times. Over the past couple of seasons, Phoenix is 30-19 revenging a loss as a favorite, and that includes a 14-5 mark when revenging back-to-back losses as a favorite. Anaheim can certainly win this, but I think a blowout is very unlikely so I'm on the Coyotes +1.5 goals.