Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Picks

Canadiens vs. Lightning Betting Picks

Get Canadiens vs. Lightning betting picks, expert betting analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Canadiens vs. Lightning game.

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 69% of the public money was on Tampa Bay Lightning to win on the moneyline. And, 69% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Tampa Bay would win by a score of 2.3 to 2.2 with Tampa Bay winning on the moneyline, Montreal winning on the puckline and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on May 03, 2026 at 9:13AM ET.

NHL

Montreal at Tampa Bay

May 3, 2026

6:00 PM Eastern

Montreal couldn't solve Andrei Vasilevskiy as he stopped 30 shots in Tampa Bay's 1-0 overtime win to tie the series at three wins apiece. However, Jakub Dobes was nearly as good with 32 saves before Gage Goncalves scored off a rebound 9:03 into the extra session. The series has been as tight as can be with every game decided by one goal and four have gone into overtime. The Canadiens already have won twice at Tampa Bay and they have won eight of their past 10 road games. The Lightning have lost five straight against teams that scored two or fewer goals their previous game. Montreal has won seven of eight versus opponents that allowed two or fewer their previous game. Take the Canadiens.

Final Score

1

2

3

F

Montreal Canadiens

1

0

1

2

Tampa Bay Lightning

0

1

0

1

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 60% of the public money was on Montreal Canadiens to win on the moneyline. And, 65% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Tampa Bay would win by a score of 2.4 to 2.1 with Tampa Bay winning on the moneyline, Montreal winning on the puckline and the game going UNDER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

O

F

Tampa Bay Lightning

0

0

0

1

1

Montreal Canadiens

0

0

0

0

0

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 81% of the public money was on Tampa Bay Lightning to win on the moneyline. And, 66% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Tampa Bay would win by a score of 2.6 to 1.9 with Tampa Bay winning on the moneyline, Montreal winning on the puckline and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on April 29, 2026 at 10:33AM ET.

NHL

Montreal at Tampa Bay

April 29, 2026

7:00 PM Eastern

It's been a tight series to say the least, as the first three games went into overtime before Tampa Bay overcame a 2-0 deficit and won 3-2 in regulation in Game 4. The series shifts to Tampa Bay, but Montreal has won seven of its past nine road games and 13 of 18 overall. The Canadiens have been a good road team all season, winning 25 of 43. Jakub Dobes stopped 17 of 20 shots for Montreal on Sunday, and he has essentially matched the performance of his counterpart, Andrei Vasilevskiy. Dobes has a 2.60 goals-against average in the four games after finishing 29-10-4 with a 2.78 GAA and a .901 save percentage in the regular season. The Canadiens have won six of seven against teams that allowed two or fewer goals in their previous game, and they are 6-1 after scoring two or fewer. Take the Canadiens. 

Final Score

1

2

3

F

Montreal Canadiens

1

1

1

3

Tampa Bay Lightning

0

2

0

2

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 64% of the public money was on Montreal Canadiens to win on the moneyline. And, 62% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Tampa Bay would win by a score of 3.4 to 3.2 with Tampa Bay winning on the moneyline, Montreal winning on the puckline and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

F

Tampa Bay Lightning

0

1

2

3

Montreal Canadiens

0

2

0

2

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 52% of the public money was on Montreal Canadiens to win on the moneyline. And, 69% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Tampa Bay would win by a score of 2.3 to 2.2 with Tampa Bay winning on the moneyline, Montreal winning on the puckline and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on April 24, 2026 at 10:25AM ET.

NHL

Tampa Bay at Montreal

April 24, 2026

7:00 PM Eastern

These teams ranked second and third in the NHL in shooting percentage during the regular season. Tampa Bay heads out on the road after splitting the first two at home, both in overtime. Tampa Bay's offense was fourth in goals scored (3.49 per game). They're on an 18-11-3 run OVER the total, including 9-4-1 OVER on the road. The Canadiens have a potent attack that ranked 7th in goals scored (3.40 per game) and 10th on the power play, while their defense ranked 18th in penalty killing, 16th in goals allowed, and 17th in save percentage. Play Montreal/Tampa Bay OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

O

F

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

1

0

0

2

Montreal Canadiens

1

1

0

1

3