Colorado Avalanche vs Winnipeg Jets

Colorado has scored 22 goals in the four games of this series and as if it didn't have enough offensive weapons Valeri Nichushkin recorded the first hat trick of his career as the Avalanche won 5-1 in Game 4. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 26 of 27 shots and the Avalanche took advantage of four penalties by Winnipeg in the second period. Colorado has outscored the Jets 16-5 the past three games and it has totally taken away the momentum of Winnipeg's recent nine-game win streak. Five of the past six meetings have gone OVER and Colorado is 49-33-4 OVER this season. The Jets are 1-6 their past seven playoff games and 0-6 overall after losing by at least three goals. The Avs are 7-1 their past eight postseason games as favorites of -110 to -150 and they have gone OVER their past five road games and Winnipeg is 6-0 OVER at home. Colorado is 9-1 OVER versus the Central Division. Take the Avalanche as a Max Play and the OVER as a Max Play.

Winnipeg had a +60 goal differential, the fourth-best in the NHL. The defense was No. 1 in save percentage (.923) and second in goals surrendered (2.42 per game). They're a fine team down 2-1 in the series but are on a 9-2 run. The Jets are also 21-8 against divisional opponents, 29-16 revenging a loss to an opponent of 4 or more goals, and 25-11 when playing only their second game in five days. Colorado's defense is just 20th in save percentage (.902) and 16th in goals given up (3.07 per game). They're 6-8 over the last 14 games losing as chalk of -140, -450, -360, -125, -150, -105, and -110. Colorado is also just 15-16 after a win by 3 or more goals. Play Winnipeg as a Max Pay.

Winnipeg had a +60 goal differential, the fourth-best in the NHL. They're 19-6 after playing two straight home games and 37-23 against teams averaging 2.85+ goals. The defense is No. 1 in save percentage (.923) and second in goals surrendered (2.42 per game). The Jets are 17-3 when working with two days of rest, plus a 21-7 run against divisional opponents. Colorado's defense is just 20th in save percentage (.902) and 16th in goals given up (3.07 per game). Colorado stole Game 2 on the road but is 14-16 after a win by three or more goals. Play Winnipeg as a Max Play. 

Colorado lost a wild 7-6 decision in Game 1, although they outshot the Jets 46-23 and Connor Hellebuyck had 40 saves for Winnipeg. The Avalanche soared OVER for the seventh time in eight games and they are 47-32-4 OVER on the season. The Avalanche will try to slow down Winnipeg, which has won nine straight, and Alexandar Georgiev is capable of a better performance after allowing all seven goals on just the 23 shots. Georgiev is 38-18-5 with a 3.02 goals-against average and has plenty of postseason experience. Winnipeg won its first game in a first round of the playoffs in five tries and it has gone OVER its past five home games. The Jets are 5-0-1 OVER after scoring at least five goals their previous game. Colorado led the league in scoring with 3.68 goals per game and just needs to step it up on the defensive side. Take the Avalanche as a Max Play, and take the OVER as a Max Play. 

An evenly-matched postseason opener between two strong teams. Colorado's offense was No. 1 in scoring (3.68 goals per game), sixth in shooting percentage, and fifth on the power play. Colorado is on a 17-10 run with five of those 10 losses by just one goal. Winnipeg focuses on defense, as the offense was 15th in goals scored (3.16 per game) and 22nd on the power play. Winnipeg is on an 8-6 run with three of the wins by just one goal. The wagering value is on the visitors to win the game or lose by one goal. Play Colorado on the runline.