Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Islanders

New York lost the first three games but didn't quit, taking Game 4, 3-2. New York had a winning road record during the regular season, anchored by a defense that was seventh in the NHL in save percentage. Carolina is 181-186 after having won five or six of their last seven games. These rivals know each other well. In the last seven meetings this season, counting the playoffs, Carolina has four wins and the Islanders have three. That included a New York win at Carolina, 5-4, as a +180 underdog. Play New York on the puckline to at least keep this one close.

Carolina has won the first two of this series netting eight goals. During the regular season, Carolina was eighth in the NHL in goals scored (3.38 per game). Carolina is 37-22 OVER the total on the road after scoring four or more goals in the last game, plus 95-62 OVER away from home after getting five goals or more in the last contest. New York's defense was 18th during the season in goals surrendered (3.15 per game) and 29th in shots on goal allowed. The Islanders are 25-17 OVER the total versus winning teams, 19-10 OVER against teams that outscore their opponents by 0.65+ goals per game, and 24-16 OVER after playing a road game. Four of the last six meetings between these division rivals have sailed OVER and this shapes up as an offensive show. Take Carolina/New York OVER the total - Max Play. 

New York entered the third period tied 1-1 on Saturday before Carolina scored twice to win 3-1. Semyon Varlamov stopped 23 of 25 shots for the Islanders, who won eight of their last nine games to clinch a playoff spot. The road team won all four meetings in the regular season and the Hurricanes are in the usual letdown spot after teams win Game 1 and the loser of that game steps it up in Game Two in a more desperate situation. Varlomov is 20-13 as an underdog and he has won seven of his past nine starts. The Islanders are 5-0 after scoring two or fewer goals their previous game and 6-1 their past seven playing with one day of rest. The UNDER is 7-1 in New York's past eight games versus teams with winning records and the Hurricanes are 5-1-2 UNDER as favorites of at least -201. Carolina is 47-33-3 UNDER this season. Take the Islanders as a Max Play and the UNDER.