Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders Point Spread Picks

First-place Seattle has won all three of its road games and comes off a bye. QB Sam Darnold (12 TDs, 4 INTs) has been a great addition, leading an offense that is 11th in total yards, eighth in passing, and sixth in scoring (27.6 points per game). The defense is 10th in yards allowed and seventh in points given up. Washington took everyone by surprise last year, making the playoffs despite a poor defense. They've been overvalued this season, on a 2-5 SU/ATS run. They've lost three in a row, allowing 97 points. The defense is 27th in yards allowed, while the offense is 16th in yards and 17th in points. Play Seattle on the moneyline. 

Washington's offense is in the middle of the pack in yards and points, as well as 24th on third down (35.96%). QB Sam Howell has been sacked 44 times, the second-most allowed. Washington is 19-9 UNDER the total after the first month of the season, plus 111-80 UNDER versus winning teams. Seattle QB Geno Smith (9 TDs, 7 INTs) has come back to earth this season and doesn't get much help from a ground game that is 22nd in rushing and averages 4.1 yards per carry. They're the third-worst offensive team on third down (31.91%). Seattle is 10-2 UNDER the total after playing a non-conference game. With NFL road teams like Washington 101-56 UNDER the total off a road win in the second half of the season, look for a defensive duel. Take Washington/Seattle UNDER the total as a Max Play.