2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks

January 01, 2012

01

Tennessee at Houston

Sunday 01/01 01:00 PM Eastern

2 units on Houston PICK () (risk 2 to return 2)  RESULT: WIN

There isn't anything Houston can do to change their playoffs seeding in this game, as they will be the No. 3 seed win or lose. Despite that I think Houston has some work to do on offense with Taylor Yates. It looks like Andre Johnson will be playing this week, so this game could be a good tune-up to get them in-sync. What might be more important is having Wade Phillips back on the sidelines after surgery to help get the Texans’ rush defense back in order. Tennessee is in a must-win situation, but that only means they are a marginal playoff team and teams in this role often struggle, and the line is usually inflated on top of it. The Texans come in with a 16-5 ATS mark at home vs. a team with a winning road record in their last 21, and are also 9-4 ATS in their last 13 as a home dog. The Titans are not getting it done as road chalk at 1-5 ATS in their last six, and the dog has ruled this series at 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Houston is the pick.

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