2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 22, 2015

This pick was released to clients on November 19, 2015 at 5:21PM ET.


Tampa Bay at Philadelphia

Sunday 11/22 01:00 PM Eastern

1 unit on Tampa Bay +6 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)  RESULT: win

1 unit on Game Total UNDER 45 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)  RESULT: loss

One of the hardest things for a rookie quarterback in the NFL is to gain consistency. We have seen the potential of Jameis Winston, and also his learning curve. Early on, it looked as if Tampa Bay's offense was on its way to doing much greater things than last season. But after scoring 38 points against Jacksonville, Tampa bay has scored fewer points consecutively in four straight games. The good news is the maturation of their defense that allowed 30+ points in three straight games, but has now allowed fewer than 20 points per game over their last three. Chip Kelley was supposed to be the offensive guru that would make the Eagles an elite offense. He made a lot of trades in the offseason to accomplish that but the Eagles, who averaged 29.6 ppg last year, have averaged just 23.6 ppg this year for a loss of a full TD per game. Thankfully the defense has made up for the loss as the Eagles stop-unit has been five points better than last season. Put it all together and you have a team that is worse offensively, but better defensively for a neutral-net change and a 4-5 record. The Buccaneers were 2-17 SU in their last 19 games before this season, but at 4-5 they have doubled that win total in less than half the games. Remember that Philly was 7-2 at this time last year, and have since gone 6-9-1 overall. The Bucs have played well against teams with a losing record at 6-1 ATS in their last seven, and have played 13-6 UNDER the total in their last 19. The Eagles with reversal in strength from offense a year ago, to defense this year has them at 7-2 to the UNDER on the season. These teams are heading in opposite directions, so take Tampa Bay and the UNDER.

Buccaneers 7 21 7 10 45
Eagles 7 7 0 3 17



Last 21.0 years

Wins Losses Units
2492 2198 +198.88

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