2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 12, 2011
St. Louis at Seattle
Monday 12/12 08:35 PM Eastern
2 units on Seattle PICK () (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: WIN
I often take the underdog in the NFL. Not tonight. The St. Louis Rams are simply that bad and this line isn't big enough to compensate. That's saying a lot when the big favorite in this contest is just 5-7. Seattle is a bad team on the road but in this building they are actually pretty good. St. Louis is just bad no matter where they play. The Rams are 2-10 on the season (1-5 on the road) both SU and ATS. Away from home this team is averaging 8.7 points per game and losing by an average of over 15 points per game. And there's little reason to see hope for improvement here with their top two quarterbacks dinged up. Tom Brandstater is expected to start for the Rams so don't expect a lot of St. Louis points through the air. But getting them on the ground also doesn't look too probable. Steven Jackson has not been a force this season. In his last three games he's totaled all of 125 yards rushing. In his last seven games facing Seattle, Jackson has averaged just 3.5 yards per carry. Seattle does their best vs. bad defenses. Over the past three seasons, the Seahawks are 8-1 ATS vs. teams like the Rams that allow 24+ points per game. Seattle has covered the spread in six of their last eight home games and they are 8-2 ATS in their last ten as a home favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. Seattle has won 12 of the last 13 match-ups between these teams including six in a row here at home by an average of 17.6 points per game. In the last four trips to Seattle, the Rams have been outscored 114-25. Lay the points in this one.