2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks
September 18, 2011
Seattle at Pittsburgh
Sunday 09/18 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Seattle PICK () (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: LOSS
As soon as last week's games were over, the betting public couldn't wait for this line to come out. They saw a horrible Seattle team that is historically bad on the road matched up against a very popular team that is sure to have a chip on their shoulder after a drubbing last week. The oddsmakers knew this and set the line high at 14. It still hasn't stopped the betting public from pouring in on the Steelers (75% of the public onPittsburgh here). The lemmings are lining up. Yes, Seattle is a mediocre team. But they did make the playoffs last season and last week's 33-16 wasn't as bad as the score would indicate. That final score was misleading as it was a 19-17 game with less than four minutes left. The Seahawks actually out-gained the 49ers, and despite a 3-0 turnover deficit on the road, they had a chance to win it late. The Steelers’ opening day performance was atrocious and without exuses. They played poorly from start-to-finish and the final score of 35-7 was completely justified. Super Bowl runner-ups tend to struggle out of the gate the following year, and looking at a two TD+ line here is hard to justify so early in the season. Seattle can play defense and despite the 33 points by San Francisco, they held them to 209 yards. The Steelers have never fared well in chalky roles as they are just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 favored by 10.5 or more. Seattle is the contrarian play which hits more often than not.