2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 04, 2007
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Seattle at Cleveland
Sunday 11/04 04:05 PM Eastern
3 units on Game Total UNDER 47 -110 (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: LOSS
Cleveland has turned into a team that, for the moment at least, looks like a playoff contender. This game may go a long way in deciding their fate. The Browns have looked good offensively this season, but when analyzing the numbers below the surface, another story emerges. While the Browns are scoring 36 ppg against teams with losing records, they are getting just 17 ppg against teams with winning records. They have risen above the basement, but still show signs of their heritage against the better teams. Seattle has already had three weeks of the young NFL season where they have kept a team out of the endzone all game. The fact is the Browns #6 rated offense has produced under 300 yards per game against .500+ teams, which would land them near the bottom of the league. The Browns have played six games in a row UNDER as a home favorite, while Seattle has played four of five UNDER after an ATS win. Cleveland is also 6-0 UNDER with Romeo Crennel as a home favorite of 3 or less. This game will be much lower scoring than most expect, and we will ride the UNDER.